#197 Kennesaw State (6-17)

avg: 1064.17  •  sd: 50.65  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
190 Vanderbilt Win 12-7 1609.72 Feb 8th Bulldog Brawl
95 Southern Illinois-Edwardsville Loss 8-13 974.8 Feb 8th Bulldog Brawl
186 Union (Tennessee) Loss 9-11 863.38 Feb 8th Bulldog Brawl
306 Tennessee Tech Win 12-7 1174.69 Feb 8th Bulldog Brawl
56 Indiana Loss 10-15 1205.74 Feb 9th Bulldog Brawl
87 Missouri S&T Loss 9-15 975.6 Feb 9th Bulldog Brawl
204 Saint Louis Win 11-8 1407.99 Feb 9th Bulldog Brawl
63 Duke Loss 5-13 1032.68 Feb 22nd Easterns Qualifier 2025
39 McGill Loss 8-12 1337.48 Feb 22nd Easterns Qualifier 2025
76 Ohio State Loss 9-10 1445.01 Feb 22nd Easterns Qualifier 2025
29 Virginia** Loss 3-13 1261.99 Ignored Feb 22nd Easterns Qualifier 2025
105 Appalachian State Loss 13-14 1309.3 Feb 23rd Easterns Qualifier 2025
147 SUNY-Binghamton Loss 9-14 792.3 Feb 23rd Easterns Qualifier 2025
100 Syracuse Loss 6-14 853.35 Feb 23rd Easterns Qualifier 2025
130 LSU Loss 8-15 758.34 Mar 15th Tally Classic XIX
146 South Florida Loss 6-9 850.82 Mar 15th Tally Classic XIX
290 North Florida Win 8-7 856.48 Mar 15th Tally Classic XIX
254 East Tennessee State Loss 12-13 729.19 Apr 12th Southern Appalachian D I Mens Conferences 2025
47 Emory Loss 6-12 1156.17 Apr 12th Southern Appalachian D I Mens Conferences 2025
233 Georgia Southern Win 10-9 1043.6 Apr 12th Southern Appalachian D I Mens Conferences 2025
21 Georgia Tech** Loss 5-13 1376.19 Ignored Apr 12th Southern Appalachian D I Mens Conferences 2025
233 Georgia Southern Win 15-14 1043.6 Apr 13th Southern Appalachian D I Mens Conferences 2025
82 Tennessee Loss 9-12 1180.51 Apr 13th Southern Appalachian D I Mens Conferences 2025
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

What is the uncertainty of the mean?
The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
What's the algorithm again?
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
Is there a longer explanation of all this?
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)