#130 LSU (13-15)

avg: 1323.15  •  sd: 56.66  •  top 16/20: 0%

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# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
102 Alabama Loss 6-13 847.3 Jan 25th T Town Throwdown XX
103 Berry Loss 9-13 1026.33 Jan 25th T Town Throwdown XX
288 Harding Win 13-0 1345.34 Jan 25th T Town Throwdown XX
236 Illinois State Win 13-5 1508.05 Jan 25th T Town Throwdown XX
103 Berry Loss 8-15 880.09 Jan 26th T Town Throwdown XX
118 Mississippi State Loss 2-9 757.25 Jan 26th T Town Throwdown XX
99 Tennessee-Chattanooga Win 13-12 1578.61 Jan 26th T Town Throwdown XX
394 Tennessee-Chattanooga -B** Win 13-2 723.18 Ignored Jan 26th T Town Throwdown XX
86 Colorado-B Loss 8-13 997.24 Feb 22nd Mardi Gras XXXVII
134 Florida State Loss 9-10 1185.77 Feb 22nd Mardi Gras XXXVII
280 Jacksonville State Win 13-7 1323.62 Feb 22nd Mardi Gras XXXVII
296 Trinity** Win 13-4 1311.59 Ignored Feb 22nd Mardi Gras XXXVII
35 Ave Maria Loss 3-15 1197.22 Mar 15th Tally Classic XIX
71 Florida Loss 9-14 1117.1 Mar 15th Tally Classic XIX
134 Florida State Loss 10-11 1185.77 Mar 15th Tally Classic XIX
197 Kennesaw State Win 15-8 1628.98 Mar 15th Tally Classic XIX
67 Auburn Loss 9-10 1496.8 Apr 12th Gulf Coast D I Mens Conferences 2025
50 Tulane Loss 7-11 1241.19 Apr 12th Gulf Coast D I Mens Conferences 2025
190 Vanderbilt Win 12-7 1609.72 Apr 12th Gulf Coast D I Mens Conferences 2025
172 Alabama-Birmingham Win 11-5 1774.88 Apr 13th Gulf Coast D I Mens Conferences 2025
321 Mississippi Win 13-8 1091.71 Apr 13th Gulf Coast D I Mens Conferences 2025
118 Mississippi State Loss 10-12 1119.12 Apr 13th Gulf Coast D I Mens Conferences 2025
68 Alabama-Huntsville Loss 8-13 1114.1 Apr 26th Southeast D I College Mens Regionals 2025
35 Ave Maria Loss 10-11 1672.22 Apr 26th Southeast D I College Mens Regionals 2025
99 Tennessee-Chattanooga Loss 10-15 1000.01 Apr 26th Southeast D I College Mens Regionals 2025
134 Florida State Win 14-12 1531.73 Apr 27th Southeast D I College Mens Regionals 2025
118 Mississippi State Win 13-11 1586.09 Apr 27th Southeast D I College Mens Regionals 2025
99 Tennessee-Chattanooga Win 13-11 1682.46 Apr 27th Southeast D I College Mens Regionals 2025
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

What is the uncertainty of the mean?
The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
What's the algorithm again?
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
Is there a longer explanation of all this?
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)