#63 Chicago (15-8)

avg: 1344.44  •  sd: 86.5  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
150 Boston College** Win 11-2 1293.33 Ignored Feb 22nd 2025 Commonwealth Cup Weekend 2
70 Carnegie Mellon Win 13-5 1879.15 Feb 22nd 2025 Commonwealth Cup Weekend 2
34 Cornell Loss 5-10 1067.52 Feb 22nd 2025 Commonwealth Cup Weekend 2
42 Duke Loss 3-6 1018.8 Feb 22nd 2025 Commonwealth Cup Weekend 2
76 Columbia Loss 6-12 640.14 Feb 23rd 2025 Commonwealth Cup Weekend 2
109 Temple Win 12-5 1621.69 Feb 23rd 2025 Commonwealth Cup Weekend 2
145 Wisconsin-La Crosse** Win 11-4 1324.19 Ignored Mar 29th Old Capitol Open 2025
128 Winona State Win 8-3 1444.6 Mar 29th Old Capitol Open 2025
214 Minnesota-Duluth** Win 11-0 868.17 Ignored Mar 29th Old Capitol Open 2025
101 Macalester Win 7-2 1654.48 Mar 30th Old Capitol Open 2025
110 Michigan State Loss 4-5 881.03 Mar 30th Old Capitol Open 2025
92 Iowa State Loss 4-7 615.57 Mar 30th Old Capitol Open 2025
120 Loyola-Chicago Win 13-2 1528.79 Apr 12th Illinois D I Womens Conferences 2025
253 Northwestern-B** Win 13-0 508.95 Ignored Apr 12th Illinois D I Womens Conferences 2025
117 Northwestern Win 8-5 1393.48 Apr 12th Illinois D I Womens Conferences 2025
66 Illinois Loss 6-12 729.22 Apr 12th Illinois D I Womens Conferences 2025
17 Notre Dame** Loss 3-13 1370.55 Ignored Apr 26th Great Lakes D I Womens Regionals 2025
180 Michigan-B Win 11-5 1142.67 Apr 26th Great Lakes D I Womens Regionals 2025
117 Northwestern Win 8-7 1064.88 Apr 26th Great Lakes D I Womens Regionals 2025
72 Purdue Win 11-2 1860.94 Apr 26th Great Lakes D I Womens Regionals 2025
110 Michigan State Win 13-4 1606.03 Apr 27th Great Lakes D I Womens Regionals 2025
11 Michigan Loss 7-13 1556.39 Apr 27th Great Lakes D I Womens Regionals 2025
66 Illinois Win 11-6 1855.22 Apr 27th Great Lakes D I Womens Regionals 2025
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

What is the uncertainty of the mean?
The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
What's the algorithm again?
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
Is there a longer explanation of all this?
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)