#123 Bates (16-13)

avg: 1344.49  •  sd: 60.14  •  top 16/20: 0%

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# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
185 Northeastern-B Win 8-5 1569.88 Mar 8th Grand Northeast Kickoff 2025
231 Colby Loss 5-6 802.19 Mar 8th Grand Northeast Kickoff 2025
376 New Hampshire** Win 9-0 874.79 Ignored Mar 8th Grand Northeast Kickoff 2025
392 Middlebury-B** Win 13-0 738.34 Ignored Mar 8th Grand Northeast Kickoff 2025
293 Amherst Win 9-7 1000.35 Mar 9th Grand Northeast Kickoff 2025
253 Brown-B Win 8-5 1310.71 Mar 9th Grand Northeast Kickoff 2025
185 Northeastern-B Win 15-10 1569.88 Mar 9th Grand Northeast Kickoff 2025
222 MIT Loss 10-11 851.13 Mar 22nd PBR State Open
90 Bowdoin Loss 9-10 1353.93 Mar 22nd PBR State Open
310 Bentley** Win 15-5 1236.01 Ignored Mar 22nd PBR State Open
159 Brandeis Loss 8-10 954.54 Mar 23rd PBR State Open
116 Boston University Win 9-7 1642.95 Mar 23rd PBR State Open
250 Worcester Polytechnic Win 13-4 1467.13 Mar 23rd PBR State Open
73 Wesleyan Loss 8-13 1091.13 Mar 29th Easterns 2025
33 Elon Loss 5-13 1225.66 Mar 29th Easterns 2025
77 Richmond Loss 8-13 1068.04 Mar 29th Easterns 2025
101 North Carolina-Asheville Win 13-12 1573.36 Mar 29th Easterns 2025
80 Williams Loss 12-13 1414.38 Mar 30th Easterns 2025
66 Franciscan Win 13-10 1952.11 Mar 30th Easterns 2025
40 Middlebury Loss 9-15 1258.8 Mar 30th Easterns 2025
40 Middlebury Loss 7-15 1174.28 Apr 12th North New England D III Mens Conferences 2025
231 Colby Win 14-8 1463.22 Apr 12th North New England D III Mens Conferences 2025
392 Middlebury-B** Win 15-1 738.34 Ignored Apr 12th North New England D III Mens Conferences 2025
70 Dartmouth Loss 8-9 1470.96 Apr 13th North New England D III Mens Conferences 2025
159 Brandeis Win 13-7 1774.73 May 3rd New England D III College Mens Regionals 2025
344 Holy Cross** Win 13-5 1098.32 Ignored May 3rd New England D III College Mens Regionals 2025
40 Middlebury Loss 13-15 1560.1 May 3rd New England D III College Mens Regionals 2025
231 Colby Win 14-9 1401.06 May 4th New England D III College Mens Regionals 2025
80 Williams Loss 8-14 1003.35 May 4th New England D III College Mens Regionals 2025
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

What is the uncertainty of the mean?
The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
What's the algorithm again?
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
Is there a longer explanation of all this?
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)