#142 Pittsburgh-B (20-12)

avg: 1284.99  •  sd: 54.47  •  top 16/20: 0%

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# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
143 Davidson Win 8-7 1403.6 Feb 15th 2025 Commonwealth Cup Weekend 1
221 Michigan-B Win 13-8 1475.53 Feb 15th 2025 Commonwealth Cup Weekend 1
239 Wake Forest Win 12-7 1425.28 Feb 15th 2025 Commonwealth Cup Weekend 1
143 Davidson Loss 8-11 912.99 Feb 16th 2025 Commonwealth Cup Weekend 1
114 Denver Loss 11-12 1250.42 Feb 16th 2025 Commonwealth Cup Weekend 1
294 Ball State Win 15-4 1314.61 Mar 15th Grand Rapids Invite 2025
203 Eastern Michigan Win 15-9 1558.66 Mar 15th Grand Rapids Invite 2025
304 Western Michigan** Win 15-4 1265.74 Ignored Mar 15th Grand Rapids Invite 2025
150 Toronto Win 14-5 1862.59 Mar 15th Grand Rapids Invite 2025
61 Michigan State Loss 9-13 1217.5 Mar 16th Grand Rapids Invite 2025
169 Michigan Tech Win 10-9 1313.6 Mar 16th Grand Rapids Invite 2025
223 Wisconsin-B Win 15-6 1576.06 Mar 16th Grand Rapids Invite 2025
79 Case Western Reserve Loss 4-15 945.72 Mar 29th East Coast Invite 2025
106 Columbia Loss 11-12 1303.85 Mar 29th East Coast Invite 2025
216 Princeton Win 13-7 1554.59 Mar 29th East Coast Invite 2025
208 Towson Win 11-9 1274 Mar 29th East Coast Invite 2025
162 Delaware Win 9-5 1742.34 Mar 30th East Coast Invite 2025
64 Georgetown Loss 7-15 1028.4 Mar 30th East Coast Invite 2025
113 West Chester Loss 11-13 1147.12 Mar 30th East Coast Invite 2025
412 Carnegie Mellon-B** Win 13-3 303.7 Ignored Apr 12th Ohio Valley Dev Mens Conferences 2025
328 Case Western Reserve-B** Win 13-4 1175.65 Ignored Apr 12th Ohio Valley Dev Mens Conferences 2025
323 Cincinnati -B** Win 13-3 1190.77 Ignored Apr 12th Ohio Valley Dev Mens Conferences 2025
209 Penn State-B Win 13-11 1253.54 Apr 12th Ohio Valley Dev Mens Conferences 2025
323 Cincinnati -B** Win 15-5 1190.77 Ignored Apr 13th Ohio Valley Dev Mens Conferences 2025
209 Penn State-B Loss 12-14 803.74 Apr 13th Ohio Valley Dev Mens Conferences 2025
384 West Chester-B Win 13-6 824.54 Apr 13th Ohio Valley Dev Mens Conferences 2025
88 Carnegie Mellon Loss 11-12 1364.55 Apr 26th Ohio Valley D I College Mens Regionals 2025
79 Case Western Reserve Loss 9-13 1127.15 Apr 26th Ohio Valley D I College Mens Regionals 2025
179 Ohio Win 15-8 1716.02 Apr 26th Ohio Valley D I College Mens Regionals 2025
74 Temple Loss 11-15 1202.9 Apr 26th Ohio Valley D I College Mens Regionals 2025
167 Dayton Win 15-12 1492.44 Apr 27th Ohio Valley D I College Mens Regionals 2025
96 Lehigh Loss 7-13 907.08 Apr 27th Ohio Valley D I College Mens Regionals 2025
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

What is the uncertainty of the mean?
The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
What's the algorithm again?
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
Is there a longer explanation of all this?
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)