#27 Utah (18-13)

avg: 1903.46  •  sd: 61.88  •  top 16/20: 13.9%

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# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
12 California Loss 9-13 1659.19 Jan 25th Santa Barbara Invite 2025
42 Colorado State Win 12-8 2207.8 Jan 25th Santa Barbara Invite 2025
54 UCLA Win 13-5 2283.5 Jan 25th Santa Barbara Invite 2025
6 Cal Poly-SLO Loss 4-13 1636.91 Jan 26th Santa Barbara Invite 2025
8 California-Santa Cruz Loss 4-6 1784.64 Jan 26th Santa Barbara Invite 2025
175 California-Davis** Win 13-0 1762.65 Ignored Feb 15th Presidents Day Invite 2025
10 Washington Loss 5-13 1507.1 Feb 15th Presidents Day Invite 2025
24 Victoria Win 11-7 2416.91 Feb 15th Presidents Day Invite 2025
175 California-Davis** Win 13-1 1762.65 Ignored Feb 16th Presidents Day Invite 2025
13 Northeastern Loss 7-12 1540.46 Feb 16th Presidents Day Invite 2025
1 Oregon Loss 11-13 2145.59 Feb 16th Presidents Day Invite 2025
46 Stanford Win 11-8 2107.15 Feb 17th Presidents Day Invite 2025
54 UCLA Win 13-8 2179.66 Feb 17th Presidents Day Invite 2025
41 California-San Diego Loss 13-15 1558.09 Mar 22nd Northwest Challenge 2025 mens
29 Virginia Win 15-11 2243.15 Mar 22nd Northwest Challenge 2025 mens
10 Washington Loss 11-15 1725.93 Mar 22nd Northwest Challenge 2025 mens
24 Victoria Loss 10-15 1496.41 Mar 22nd Northwest Challenge 2025 mens
41 California-San Diego Win 15-9 2287.75 Mar 23rd Northwest Challenge 2025 mens
135 Gonzaga Win 15-8 1872.89 Mar 23rd Northwest Challenge 2025 mens
367 Boise State** Win 11-0 948.32 Ignored Apr 19th Big Sky D I Mens Conferences 2025
154 Brigham Young-B** Win 11-4 1844.54 Ignored Apr 19th Big Sky D I Mens Conferences 2025
137 Montana State Win 11-8 1670.94 Apr 19th Big Sky D I Mens Conferences 2025
25 Utah Valley Loss 7-11 1477.11 Apr 19th Big Sky D I Mens Conferences 2025
137 Montana State Win 11-4 1905.33 Apr 20th Big Sky D I Mens Conferences 2025
38 Utah State Loss 8-14 1257.84 Apr 20th Big Sky D I Mens Conferences 2025
1 Oregon Loss 9-15 1858.95 May 3rd Northwest D I College Mens Regionals 2025
38 Utah State Win 15-12 2094.36 May 3rd Northwest D I College Mens Regionals 2025
24 Victoria Win 11-10 2075.02 May 3rd Northwest D I College Mens Regionals 2025
16 British Columbia Win 14-10 2428.93 May 4th Northwest D I College Mens Regionals 2025
9 Oregon State Loss 13-15 1902.28 May 4th Northwest D I College Mens Regionals 2025
23 Western Washington Win 14-13 2095.42 May 4th Northwest D I College Mens Regionals 2025
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

What is the uncertainty of the mean?
The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
What's the algorithm again?
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
Is there a longer explanation of all this?
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)