#42 Colorado State (11-16)

avg: 1766.65  •  sd: 59.49  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
7 Brigham Young Loss 5-13 1612.51 Jan 25th Santa Barbara Invite 2025
27 Utah Loss 8-12 1462.31 Jan 25th Santa Barbara Invite 2025
46 Stanford Loss 10-11 1616.55 Jan 25th Santa Barbara Invite 2025
32 California-Santa Barbara Win 4-3 1961.17 Jan 26th Santa Barbara Invite 2025
12 California Loss 8-12 1636.6 Feb 15th Presidents Day Invite 2025
9 Oregon State Loss 9-13 1697.9 Feb 15th Presidents Day Invite 2025
12 California Loss 6-13 1477.75 Feb 16th Presidents Day Invite 2025
4 Colorado Loss 9-12 1992.51 Feb 16th Presidents Day Invite 2025
24 Victoria Win 12-6 2529.33 Feb 16th Presidents Day Invite 2025
46 Stanford Loss 9-13 1322.98 Feb 17th Presidents Day Invite 2025
54 UCLA Win 10-9 1808.5 Feb 17th Presidents Day Invite 2025
11 Washington University Loss 7-15 1482.57 Mar 29th Huck Finn 2025
47 Emory Win 12-10 1973.6 Mar 29th Huck Finn 2025
57 Oklahoma Christian Win 10-8 1919.05 Mar 29th Huck Finn 2025
15 Davenport Loss 8-12 1599.94 Mar 29th Huck Finn 2025
37 Cincinnati Loss 10-11 1671.25 Mar 30th Huck Finn 2025
53 Purdue Loss 9-12 1347.52 Mar 30th Huck Finn 2025
46 Stanford Loss 8-9 1616.55 Mar 30th Huck Finn 2025
378 Denver-B** Win 15-0 864.1 Ignored Apr 12th Rocky Mountain D I Mens Conferences 2025
86 Colorado-B Win 14-11 1806.74 Apr 12th Rocky Mountain D I Mens Conferences 2025
4 Colorado Loss 8-15 1773.06 Apr 13th Rocky Mountain D I Mens Conferences 2025
245 Texas-Dallas** Win 15-3 1486.38 Ignored Apr 26th South Central D I College Mens Regionals 2025
86 Colorado-B Win 15-8 2058.21 Apr 26th South Central D I College Mens Regionals 2025
4 Colorado Loss 6-13 1737.87 Apr 27th South Central D I College Mens Regionals 2025
14 Texas Loss 11-13 1813.39 Apr 27th South Central D I College Mens Regionals 2025
97 Missouri Win 13-8 1956.13 Apr 27th South Central D I College Mens Regionals 2025
92 Texas A&M Win 11-6 2024.57 Apr 27th South Central D I College Mens Regionals 2025
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

What is the uncertainty of the mean?
The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
What's the algorithm again?
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
Is there a longer explanation of all this?
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)