#124 Clemson (17-12)

avg: 1343.98  •  sd: 53.44  •  top 16/20: 0%

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# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
186 Union (Tennessee) Win 13-12 1237.59 Feb 8th Bulldog Brawl
190 Vanderbilt Win 11-7 1556.11 Feb 8th Bulldog Brawl
56 Indiana Loss 7-13 1101.81 Feb 8th Bulldog Brawl
204 Saint Louis Loss 10-11 917.38 Feb 8th Bulldog Brawl
306 Tennessee Tech** Win 15-6 1254.18 Ignored Feb 9th Bulldog Brawl
325 Mississippi State-B** Win 13-2 1186.73 Ignored Feb 9th Bulldog Brawl
288 Harding Win 14-6 1345.34 Feb 9th Bulldog Brawl
198 North Carolina-B Loss 11-12 936.64 Mar 1st Joint Summit 2025
334 South Carolina-B** Win 13-1 1160.45 Ignored Mar 1st Joint Summit 2025
184 Georgia State Win 12-7 1637.47 Mar 1st Joint Summit 2025
254 East Tennessee State Win 15-6 1454.19 Mar 1st Joint Summit 2025
128 Central Florida Loss 11-15 946.51 Mar 2nd Joint Summit 2025
184 Georgia State Win 11-1 1716.96 Mar 2nd Joint Summit 2025
67 Auburn Loss 4-11 1021.8 Mar 15th Tally Classic XIX
128 Central Florida Win 7-6 1452.67 Mar 15th Tally Classic XIX
146 South Florida Win 13-10 1597.53 Mar 15th Tally Classic XIX
71 Florida Win 11-10 1715.96 Mar 15th Tally Classic XIX
3 North Carolina** Loss 4-13 1738.86 Ignored Apr 12th Carolina D I Mens Conferences 2025
239 Wake Forest Win 13-7 1462.3 Apr 12th Carolina D I Mens Conferences 2025
173 East Carolina Loss 7-10 776.71 Apr 12th Carolina D I Mens Conferences 2025
239 Wake Forest Win 10-5 1478.67 Apr 12th Carolina D I Mens Conferences 2025
105 Appalachian State Win 11-7 1901.19 Apr 13th Carolina D I Mens Conferences 2025
173 East Carolina Win 15-9 1681.85 Apr 13th Carolina D I Mens Conferences 2025
62 North Carolina State Loss 4-11 1033.63 Apr 13th Carolina D I Mens Conferences 2025
58 James Madison Loss 6-13 1050.67 Apr 26th Atlantic Coast D I College Mens Regionals 2025
34 South Carolina Loss 9-15 1299.82 Apr 26th Atlantic Coast D I College Mens Regionals 2025
63 Duke Loss 10-14 1233.98 Apr 26th Atlantic Coast D I College Mens Regionals 2025
173 East Carolina Win 13-10 1494.52 Apr 26th Atlantic Coast D I College Mens Regionals 2025
48 North Carolina-Wilmington Loss 11-14 1417.92 Apr 27th Atlantic Coast D I College Mens Regionals 2025
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

What is the uncertainty of the mean?
The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
What's the algorithm again?
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
Is there a longer explanation of all this?
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)