#58 James Madison (20-18)

avg: 1650.67  •  sd: 44.18  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
181 American Win 11-6 1685.65 Jan 25th Mid Atlantic Warm Up 2025
88 Carnegie Mellon Win 11-9 1738.76 Jan 25th Mid Atlantic Warm Up 2025
173 East Carolina Win 11-6 1713.07 Jan 25th Mid Atlantic Warm Up 2025
93 Yale Loss 8-10 1214.09 Jan 25th Mid Atlantic Warm Up 2025
220 Christopher Newport Win 14-8 1517.4 Jan 26th Mid Atlantic Warm Up 2025
37 Cincinnati Win 11-9 2045.46 Jan 26th Mid Atlantic Warm Up 2025
61 Michigan State Win 11-9 1885.27 Jan 26th Mid Atlantic Warm Up 2025
52 William & Mary Loss 9-14 1219.67 Jan 26th Mid Atlantic Warm Up 2025
62 North Carolina State Loss 6-13 1033.63 Feb 15th Queen City Tune Up 2025
22 Penn State Loss 5-13 1372.46 Feb 15th Queen City Tune Up 2025
53 Purdue Loss 12-13 1567.88 Feb 15th Queen City Tune Up 2025
67 Auburn Win 11-10 1746.8 Feb 22nd Easterns Qualifier 2025
78 Notre Dame Win 13-11 1783.41 Feb 22nd Easterns Qualifier 2025
34 South Carolina Loss 10-13 1487.16 Feb 22nd Easterns Qualifier 2025
147 SUNY-Binghamton Win 13-6 1866.17 Feb 22nd Easterns Qualifier 2025
56 Indiana Win 13-12 1784.35 Feb 23rd Easterns Qualifier 2025
29 Virginia Win 14-13 1986.99 Feb 23rd Easterns Qualifier 2025
48 North Carolina-Wilmington Loss 6-15 1131.26 Feb 23rd Easterns Qualifier 2025
18 Brown Loss 8-13 1516.43 Mar 29th Easterns 2025
4 Colorado** Loss 2-13 1737.87 Ignored Mar 29th Easterns 2025
17 Georgia Loss 8-13 1518.44 Mar 29th Easterns 2025
1 Oregon Loss 7-13 1816.9 Mar 29th Easterns 2025
62 North Carolina State Loss 11-13 1404.79 Mar 30th Easterns 2025
26 Michigan Win 13-11 2132.32 Mar 30th Easterns 2025
30 Pittsburgh Loss 7-13 1298.75 Mar 30th Easterns 2025
140 George Mason Win 11-9 1537.33 Apr 12th Virginia D I Mens Conferences 2025
238 Virginia Commonwealth Win 9-7 1185.11 Apr 12th Virginia D I Mens Conferences 2025
111 Liberty Win 14-9 1862.84 Apr 12th Virginia D I Mens Conferences 2025
45 Virginia Tech Loss 8-9 1627.57 Apr 12th Virginia D I Mens Conferences 2025
29 Virginia Loss 12-13 1736.99 Apr 13th Virginia D I Mens Conferences 2025
111 Liberty Win 12-8 1830.13 Apr 13th Virginia D I Mens Conferences 2025
52 William & Mary Loss 11-14 1380.2 Apr 13th Virginia D I Mens Conferences 2025
124 Clemson Win 13-6 1943.98 Apr 26th Atlantic Coast D I College Mens Regionals 2025
63 Duke Loss 11-12 1507.68 Apr 26th Atlantic Coast D I College Mens Regionals 2025
34 South Carolina Win 13-12 1940.3 Apr 26th Atlantic Coast D I College Mens Regionals 2025
64 Georgetown Win 15-13 1842.58 Apr 27th Atlantic Coast D I College Mens Regionals 2025
69 North Carolina-Charlotte Win 14-10 2003.14 Apr 27th Atlantic Coast D I College Mens Regionals 2025
3 North Carolina** Loss 5-15 1738.86 Ignored Apr 27th Atlantic Coast D I College Mens Regionals 2025
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

What is the uncertainty of the mean?
The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
What's the algorithm again?
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
Is there a longer explanation of all this?
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)