#288 Harding (8-28)

avg: 745.34  •  sd: 49.99  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
102 Alabama** Loss 0-13 847.3 Ignored Jan 25th T Town Throwdown XX
394 Tennessee-Chattanooga -B Win 13-9 541.75 Jan 25th T Town Throwdown XX
130 LSU Loss 0-13 723.15 Jan 25th T Town Throwdown XX
236 Illinois State Loss 6-13 308.05 Jan 25th T Town Throwdown XX
103 Berry** Loss 2-13 844.9 Ignored Jan 26th T Town Throwdown XX
280 Jacksonville State Loss 6-15 166.09 Jan 26th T Town Throwdown XX
394 Tennessee-Chattanooga -B** Win 6-0 723.18 Ignored Jan 26th T Town Throwdown XX
204 Saint Louis Loss 7-13 484.85 Feb 8th Bulldog Brawl
118 Mississippi State** Loss 3-15 757.25 Ignored Feb 8th Bulldog Brawl
152 Lipscomb Loss 5-13 653.36 Feb 8th Bulldog Brawl
124 Clemson Loss 6-14 743.98 Feb 9th Bulldog Brawl
325 Mississippi State-B Win 15-5 1186.73 Feb 9th Bulldog Brawl
186 Union (Tennessee) Loss 3-15 512.59 Feb 9th Bulldog Brawl
158 Grinnell Loss 5-9 691.13 Feb 22nd Dust Bowl 2025
160 Kansas Loss 3-9 617.19 Feb 22nd Dust Bowl 2025
278 Texas Tech Loss 7-8 643.35 Feb 22nd Dust Bowl 2025
139 Wichita State Loss 7-12 776.85 Feb 22nd Dust Bowl 2025
368 Dallas Win 10-5 903.49 Feb 23rd Dust Bowl 2025
324 Kansas State Loss 7-10 197.49 Feb 23rd Dust Bowl 2025
189 Baylor Win 13-5 1691.24 Mar 15th Mens Centex 2025
75 Iowa State** Loss 4-13 982.5 Ignored Mar 15th Mens Centex 2025
287 Texas State Win 9-8 870.81 Mar 15th Mens Centex 2025
296 Trinity Win 9-8 836.59 Mar 15th Mens Centex 2025
84 Boston College** Loss 5-15 907.56 Ignored Mar 16th Mens Centex 2025
110 Iowa Loss 12-15 1105.25 Mar 16th Mens Centex 2025
183 Tarleton State Win 15-13 1346.63 Mar 16th Mens Centex 2025
195 John Brown Loss 9-13 651.07 Apr 12th Ozarks D III Mens Conferences 2025
57 Oklahoma Christian** Loss 4-13 1056.39 Ignored Apr 12th Ozarks D III Mens Conferences 2025
87 Missouri S&T** Loss 5-13 891.08 Ignored Apr 12th Ozarks D III Mens Conferences 2025
164 Truman State Loss 8-11 841.53 Apr 12th Ozarks D III Mens Conferences 2025
87 Missouri S&T** Loss 6-15 891.08 Ignored Apr 13th Ozarks D III Mens Conferences 2025
164 Truman State Loss 6-11 660.44 Apr 13th Ozarks D III Mens Conferences 2025
87 Missouri S&T Loss 7-15 891.08 Apr 26th South Central D III College Mens Regionals 2025
57 Oklahoma Christian** Loss 3-15 1056.39 Ignored Apr 26th South Central D III College Mens Regionals 2025
230 Air Force Loss 6-13 327.9 Apr 27th South Central D III College Mens Regionals 2025
164 Truman State Loss 6-15 607.14 Apr 27th South Central D III College Mens Regionals 2025
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

What is the uncertainty of the mean?
The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
What's the algorithm again?
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
Is there a longer explanation of all this?
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)