#137 Rutgers (13-15)

avg: 792.75  •  sd: 63.71  •  top 16/20: 0%

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# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
243 Columbia-B** Win 7-1 640.54 Ignored Mar 8th Strong Island Invitational
91 NYU Win 5-4 1236.74 Mar 8th Strong Island Invitational
185 SUNY-Stony Brook Win 6-3 1065.63 Mar 8th Strong Island Invitational
89 Williams Loss 5-8 665.13 Mar 8th Strong Island Invitational
91 NYU Loss 6-7 986.74 Mar 9th Strong Island Invitational
185 SUNY-Stony Brook Win 13-5 1118.93 Mar 9th Strong Island Invitational
176 Bentley Win 8-7 702.28 Mar 29th New England Open 2025
206 Clark Win 11-1 909.78 Mar 29th New England Open 2025
174 New Hampshire Win 8-3 1181.93 Mar 29th New England Open 2025
90 SUNY-Buffalo Win 6-4 1481.95 Mar 29th New England Open 2025
147 Boston University Win 9-6 1141.17 Mar 30th New England Open 2025
129 Harvard Loss 6-7 708.28 Mar 30th New England Open 2025
174 New Hampshire Loss 0-7 -18.07 Mar 30th New England Open 2025
90 SUNY-Buffalo Loss 0-7 516.34 Mar 30th New England Open 2025
76 Columbia Loss 4-5 1094.45 Apr 12th Eastern Metro East D I Womens Conferences 2025
64 Connecticut Loss 5-7 991.68 Apr 12th Eastern Metro East D I Womens Conferences 2025
261 Rowan** Win 7-1 144.38 Ignored Apr 12th Eastern Metro East D I Womens Conferences 2025
103 Yale Loss 4-9 441.01 Apr 12th Eastern Metro East D I Womens Conferences 2025
76 Columbia Loss 5-11 619.45 Apr 13th Eastern Metro East D I Womens Conferences 2025
243 Columbia-B** Win 15-0 640.54 Ignored Apr 13th Eastern Metro East D I Womens Conferences 2025
185 SUNY-Stony Brook Win 7-3 1118.93 Apr 13th Eastern Metro East D I Womens Conferences 2025
76 Columbia Loss 2-13 619.45 Apr 26th Metro East D I College Womens Regionals 2025
34 Cornell** Loss 3-11 1041.42 Ignored Apr 26th Metro East D I College Womens Regionals 2025
91 NYU Loss 5-11 511.74 Apr 26th Metro East D I College Womens Regionals 2025
160 Syracuse Loss 7-8 538.44 Apr 26th Metro East D I College Womens Regionals 2025
91 NYU Loss 3-7 511.74 Apr 27th Metro East D I College Womens Regionals 2025
90 SUNY-Buffalo Loss 6-11 569.64 Apr 27th Metro East D I College Womens Regionals 2025
160 Syracuse Win 10-8 926.1 Apr 27th Metro East D I College Womens Regionals 2025
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

What is the uncertainty of the mean?
The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
What's the algorithm again?
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
Is there a longer explanation of all this?
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)