#89 Williams (20-8)

avg: 1118.74  •  sd: 54.74  •  top 16/20: 0%

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# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
243 Columbia-B** Win 13-0 640.54 Ignored Mar 8th Strong Island Invitational
91 NYU Win 6-4 1477.35 Mar 8th Strong Island Invitational
137 Rutgers Win 8-5 1246.35 Mar 8th Strong Island Invitational
91 NYU Win 9-4 1711.74 Mar 9th Strong Island Invitational
185 SUNY-Stony Brook Win 9-2 1118.93 Mar 9th Strong Island Invitational
150 Boston College Win 9-5 1222.39 Mar 22nd Jersey Devil 2025
62 Brown Loss 4-8 786.47 Mar 22nd Jersey Devil 2025
175 RIT Win 8-6 882.29 Mar 22nd Jersey Devil 2025
118 Swarthmore Loss 6-8 638.73 Mar 22nd Jersey Devil 2025
62 Brown Loss 6-15 751.28 Mar 23rd Jersey Devil 2025
118 Swarthmore Win 12-10 1177.35 Mar 23rd Jersey Devil 2025
159 Charleston Win 13-2 1265 Mar 29th Needle in a Ho Stack 2025
149 Davidson Win 10-6 1200.68 Mar 29th Needle in a Ho Stack 2025
228 Elon** Win 13-2 765.12 Ignored Mar 29th Needle in a Ho Stack 2025
125 Georgia College Win 8-5 1309.75 Mar 29th Needle in a Ho Stack 2025
78 Appalachian State Loss 7-12 694.65 Mar 30th Needle in a Ho Stack 2025
81 Tennessee Loss 8-9 1071.93 Mar 30th Needle in a Ho Stack 2025
102 Virginia Tech Win 11-10 1174.35 Mar 30th Needle in a Ho Stack 2025
104 Amherst Win 8-7 1165.3 Apr 13th South New England D III Womens Conferences 2025
206 Clark Win 8-5 763.39 Apr 13th South New England D III Womens Conferences 2025
75 Mount Holyoke Loss 6-9 804.23 Apr 13th South New England D III Womens Conferences 2025
165 Smith Win 8-1 1228.4 Apr 13th South New England D III Womens Conferences 2025
157 Bates Win 9-4 1271.73 Apr 26th New England D III College Womens Regionals 2025
201 Stonehill** Win 12-4 1007.13 Ignored Apr 26th New England D III College Womens Regionals 2025
85 Wellesley Win 13-3 1743.84 Apr 26th New England D III College Womens Regionals 2025
165 Smith Win 11-5 1228.4 Apr 26th New England D III College Womens Regionals 2025
51 Middlebury Loss 7-12 961.17 Apr 27th New England D III College Womens Regionals 2025
75 Mount Holyoke Loss 7-8 1097.8 Apr 27th New England D III College Womens Regionals 2025
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

What is the uncertainty of the mean?
The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
What's the algorithm again?
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
Is there a longer explanation of all this?
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)