#108 Lehigh (8-6)

avg: 1059.31  •  sd: 90.25  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
55 Haverford/Bryn Mawr Win 7-5 1840.76 Feb 22nd Bring The Huckus 2025
93 Ithaca Loss 7-8 1010.73 Feb 22nd Bring The Huckus 2025
47 Wesleyan** Loss 2-12 1078 Feb 22nd Bring The Huckus 2025
142 SUNY-Geneseo Win 9-3 1332.04 Feb 22nd Bring The Huckus 2025
55 Haverford/Bryn Mawr Loss 4-10 912.61 Feb 23rd Bring The Huckus 2025
132 Swarthmore Win 8-7 1004.79 Feb 23rd Bring The Huckus 2025
142 SUNY-Geneseo Win 10-7 1121.7 Feb 23rd Bring The Huckus 2025
136 Delaware Loss 3-4 691.9 Mar 1st Cherry Blossom Classic 2025
155 George Mason Win 5-3 1033.17 Mar 1st Cherry Blossom Classic 2025
96 SUNY-Buffalo Loss 5-6 1005.9 Mar 1st Cherry Blossom Classic 2025
91 SUNY-Binghamton Win 6-5 1269.57 Mar 1st Cherry Blossom Classic 2025
134 Catholic Loss 2-7 235.52 Mar 2nd Cherry Blossom Classic 2025
172 Johns Hopkins Win 9-4 996.94 Mar 2nd Cherry Blossom Classic 2025
152 Miami (Florida) Win 9-5 1182.3 Mar 2nd Cherry Blossom Classic 2025
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

What is the uncertainty of the mean?
The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
What's the algorithm again?
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
Is there a longer explanation of all this?
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)