#25 Northeastern (16-12)

avg: 1802.53  •  sd: 62.95  •  top 16/20: 3.7%

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# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
2 Carleton College** Loss 1-13 1968.81 Ignored Feb 15th Queen City Tune Up 2025
65 Florida Win 10-4 1919.34 Feb 15th Queen City Tune Up 2025
60 South Carolina Win 13-6 1984.98 Feb 15th Queen City Tune Up 2025
35 Wisconsin Win 9-4 2233.8 Feb 16th Queen City Tune Up 2025
21 Virginia Win 8-4 2465.87 Feb 16th Queen City Tune Up 2025
23 California-Davis Win 11-9 2124.85 Mar 1st Stanford Invite 2025 Womens
14 California-Santa Cruz Loss 9-10 1916.54 Mar 1st Stanford Invite 2025 Womens
68 Santa Clara Win 13-7 1854.01 Mar 1st Stanford Invite 2025 Womens
13 California-Santa Barbara Loss 9-12 1722.36 Mar 2nd Stanford Invite 2025 Womens
14 California-Santa Cruz Loss 6-10 1545.38 Mar 2nd Stanford Invite 2025 Womens
6 Washington Loss 5-10 1688.86 Mar 2nd Stanford Invite 2025 Womens
24 Minnesota Loss 9-11 1573.92 Mar 29th East Coast Invite 2025
31 Pittsburgh Loss 8-10 1431.55 Mar 29th East Coast Invite 2025
21 Virginia Loss 10-11 1776.06 Mar 29th East Coast Invite 2025
20 Pennsylvania Loss 8-12 1471.78 Mar 29th East Coast Invite 2025
97 Lehigh** Win 8-1 1690.28 Ignored Mar 30th East Coast Invite 2025
113 West Chester Win 12-6 1531.28 Mar 30th East Coast Invite 2025
74 Penn State Win 9-6 1678.3 Mar 30th East Coast Invite 2025
150 Boston College** Win 15-1 1293.33 Ignored Apr 13th Metro Boston D I Womens Conferences 2025
38 MIT Win 12-6 2168.13 Apr 13th Metro Boston D I Womens Conferences 2025
38 MIT Win 10-9 1713.82 Apr 13th Metro Boston D I Womens Conferences 2025
3 Tufts Loss 7-13 1931.23 Apr 13th Metro Boston D I Womens Conferences 2025
241 Maine** Win 15-0 650.79 Ignored Apr 26th New England D I College Womens Regionals 2025
86 Vermont-B** Win 13-5 1739.79 Ignored Apr 26th New England D I College Womens Regionals 2025
5 Vermont Loss 7-15 1689.71 Apr 26th New England D I College Womens Regionals 2025
62 Brown Win 10-4 1951.28 Apr 27th New England D I College Womens Regionals 2025
38 MIT Win 8-6 1889.31 Apr 27th New England D I College Womens Regionals 2025
5 Vermont Loss 7-14 1706.82 Apr 27th New England D I College Womens Regionals 2025
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

What is the uncertainty of the mean?
The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
What's the algorithm again?
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
Is there a longer explanation of all this?
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)