#152 Miami (Florida) (8-7)

avg: 653.24  •  sd: 47.17  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
150 Florida State Loss 6-7 570.72 Jan 25th Florida Winter Classic 2025
191 Florida-B Win 10-2 711.08 Jan 25th Florida Winter Classic 2025
38 Georgia Tech** Loss 1-13 1128.38 Ignored Jan 25th Florida Winter Classic 2025
84 Central Florida Loss 0-12 618.43 Jan 26th Florida Winter Classic 2025
191 Florida-B Win 8-4 675.89 Jan 26th Florida Winter Classic 2025
190 Georgia Southern Win 12-4 715.6 Jan 26th Florida Winter Classic 2025
- Florida Tech Win 7-5 653.24 Feb 8th Tropical Toss up
- South Florida** Win 13-2 325.1 Ignored Feb 8th Tropical Toss up
188 American-B Win 7-4 646.77 Mar 1st Cherry Blossom Classic 2025
151 East Carolina Loss 7-8 540.8 Mar 1st Cherry Blossom Classic 2025
55 Haverford/Bryn Mawr** Loss 0-13 912.61 Ignored Mar 1st Cherry Blossom Classic 2025
178 Towson Win 7-4 793.7 Mar 1st Cherry Blossom Classic 2025
151 East Carolina Win 4-3 790.8 Mar 2nd Cherry Blossom Classic 2025
108 Lehigh Loss 5-9 530.25 Mar 2nd Cherry Blossom Classic 2025
68 Maryland** Loss 1-11 785.89 Ignored Mar 2nd Cherry Blossom Classic 2025
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

What is the uncertainty of the mean?
The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
What's the algorithm again?
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
Is there a longer explanation of all this?
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)