#169 Miami (Florida) (16-15)

avg: 609.04  •  sd: 47.15  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
172 Florida State Loss 6-7 474.77 Jan 25th Florida Winter Classic 2025
236 Florida-B Win 10-2 683.7 Jan 25th Florida Winter Classic 2025
33 Georgia Tech** Loss 1-13 1051.61 Ignored Jan 25th Florida Winter Classic 2025
59 Central Florida** Loss 0-12 797.07 Ignored Jan 26th Florida Winter Classic 2025
236 Florida-B Win 8-4 648.51 Jan 26th Florida Winter Classic 2025
156 Georgia Southern Win 12-4 1273.6 Jan 26th Florida Winter Classic 2025
219 Florida Tech Win 7-5 544.93 Feb 8th Tropical Toss up
248 South Florida Win 13-2 614.63 Feb 8th Tropical Toss up
252 American-B Win 7-4 435.81 Mar 1st Cherry Blossom Classic 2025
166 East Carolina Loss 7-8 500.91 Mar 1st Cherry Blossom Classic 2025
36 Haverford/Bryn Mawr** Loss 0-13 1019.05 Ignored Mar 1st Cherry Blossom Classic 2025
207 Towson Win 7-4 797.45 Mar 1st Cherry Blossom Classic 2025
166 East Carolina Win 4-3 750.91 Mar 2nd Cherry Blossom Classic 2025
97 Lehigh Loss 5-9 561.22 Mar 2nd Cherry Blossom Classic 2025
53 Maryland** Loss 1-11 857.11 Ignored Mar 2nd Cherry Blossom Classic 2025
239 Connecticut College Win 9-8 200.32 Mar 29th Northeast Classic 2025
148 Dartmouth Loss 3-9 108.43 Mar 29th Northeast Classic 2025
182 Vermont-C Loss 4-5 400.76 Mar 29th Northeast Classic 2025
224 SUNY-Cortland Win 10-3 803.25 Mar 30th Northeast Classic 2025
204 Vassar Win 10-7 777.63 Mar 30th Northeast Classic 2025
65 Florida** Loss 5-13 719.34 Ignored Apr 12th Florida D I Womens Conferences 2025
219 Florida Tech Win 7-4 712.95 Apr 12th Florida D I Womens Conferences 2025
172 Florida State Loss 6-9 181.2 Apr 13th Florida D I Womens Conferences 2025
236 Florida-B Win 13-7 641.23 Apr 13th Florida D I Womens Conferences 2025
248 South Florida Win 15-0 614.63 Apr 13th Florida D I Womens Conferences 2025
233 Auburn Win 15-5 724.76 Apr 26th Southeast D I College Womens Regionals 2025
65 Florida** Loss 4-15 719.34 Ignored Apr 26th Southeast D I College Womens Regionals 2025
81 Tennessee Loss 4-15 596.93 Apr 26th Southeast D I College Womens Regionals 2025
203 Tennessee-Chattanooga Win 14-2 995.01 Apr 26th Southeast D I College Womens Regionals 2025
33 Georgia Tech** Loss 4-15 1051.61 Ignored Apr 27th Southeast D I College Womens Regionals 2025
81 Tennessee Loss 7-15 596.93 Apr 27th Southeast D I College Womens Regionals 2025
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

What is the uncertainty of the mean?
The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
What's the algorithm again?
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
Is there a longer explanation of all this?
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)