#73 Colorado College (17-7)

avg: 1260.16  •  sd: 79.16  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
46 Carleton College-Eclipse Loss 4-11 938.86 Feb 8th DIII Grand Prix 2025
67 Lewis & Clark Loss 6-8 997.31 Feb 8th DIII Grand Prix 2025
52 Oregon State Loss 6-10 976.07 Feb 8th DIII Grand Prix 2025
79 Portland Loss 10-12 968.64 Feb 8th DIII Grand Prix 2025
133 Claremont Win 13-2 1411.23 Feb 9th DIII Grand Prix 2025
116 Puget Sound Win 13-1 1543.82 Feb 9th DIII Grand Prix 2025
48 Whitman Win 13-9 1923.58 Feb 9th DIII Grand Prix 2025
181 Arizona** Win 15-5 1132.91 Ignored Mar 1st Snow Melt 2025
114 Arizona State Win 12-5 1551.81 Mar 1st Snow Melt 2025
188 Colorado-B** Win 15-0 1093.36 Ignored Mar 1st Snow Melt 2025
251 Colorado College-B** Win 15-0 553.91 Ignored Mar 2nd Snow Melt 2025
107 Denver Win 15-5 1627.31 Mar 2nd Snow Melt 2025
147 Boston University Win 13-5 1322.6 Mar 22nd Womens Centex 2025
255 Texas-B** Win 13-2 464.54 Ignored Mar 22nd Womens Centex 2025
30 UCLA Loss 4-10 1114.42 Mar 22nd Womens Centex 2025
88 Rice Loss 10-14 728.7 Mar 22nd Womens Centex 2025
135 Trinity Win 11-7 1269.85 Mar 23rd Womens Centex 2025
105 San Diego State Win 9-8 1160.81 Mar 23rd Womens Centex 2025
251 Colorado College-B** Win 15-2 553.91 Ignored Apr 12th South Central D III Womens Conferences 2025
135 Trinity Win 11-6 1349.65 Apr 12th South Central D III Womens Conferences 2025
200 Truman State** Win 14-5 1033.99 Ignored Apr 12th South Central D III Womens Conferences 2025
88 Rice Win 12-5 1727.4 Apr 13th South Central D III Womens Conferences 2025
200 Truman State** Win 15-2 1033.99 Ignored Apr 13th South Central D III Womens Conferences 2025
88 Rice Loss 12-15 826.91 Apr 13th South Central D III Womens Conferences 2025
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

What is the uncertainty of the mean?
The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
What's the algorithm again?
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
Is there a longer explanation of all this?
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)