#324 Kansas State (2-15)

avg: 587.15  •  sd: 65.73  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
313 Washington University-B Loss 7-12 105.86 Feb 22nd Dust Bowl 2025
57 Oklahoma Christian** Loss 0-13 1056.39 Ignored Feb 22nd Dust Bowl 2025
171 Northern Iowa Loss 8-13 683.1 Feb 22nd Dust Bowl 2025
368 Dallas Win 11-7 796.48 Feb 23rd Dust Bowl 2025
288 Harding Win 10-7 1135 Feb 23rd Dust Bowl 2025
259 Colorado State-B Loss 8-14 304.16 Mar 29th Free State Classic 2025
195 John Brown Loss 4-15 469.63 Mar 29th Free State Classic 2025
160 Kansas** Loss 3-15 617.19 Ignored Mar 29th Free State Classic 2025
164 Truman State Loss 11-15 825.97 Mar 29th Free State Classic 2025
195 John Brown Loss 6-15 469.63 Mar 30th Free State Classic 2025
191 Oklahoma State Loss 7-15 483.79 Mar 30th Free State Classic 2025
160 Kansas Loss 11-14 903.86 Apr 12th Ozarks D I Mens Conferences 2025
274 Oklahoma Loss 11-14 473.96 Apr 12th Ozarks D I Mens Conferences 2025
191 Oklahoma State Loss 9-15 568.31 Apr 12th Ozarks D I Mens Conferences 2025
97 Missouri Loss 4-8 895.16 Apr 12th Ozarks D I Mens Conferences 2025
224 Arkansas Loss 7-15 359.82 Apr 13th Ozarks D I Mens Conferences 2025
313 Washington University-B Loss 9-10 501.37 Apr 13th Ozarks D I Mens Conferences 2025
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

What is the uncertainty of the mean?
The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
What's the algorithm again?
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
Is there a longer explanation of all this?
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)