#171 Northern Iowa (16-13)

avg: 1179.26  •  sd: 49.12  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
324 Kansas State Win 13-8 1083.31 Feb 22nd Dust Bowl 2025
245 Texas-Dallas Win 12-10 1124.5 Feb 22nd Dust Bowl 2025
57 Oklahoma Christian Loss 9-13 1237.82 Feb 22nd Dust Bowl 2025
313 Washington University-B Win 13-7 1183.9 Feb 22nd Dust Bowl 2025
158 Grinnell Loss 8-9 1095.19 Feb 23rd Dust Bowl 2025
204 Saint Louis Loss 4-8 477.57 Feb 23rd Dust Bowl 2025
340 Rose-Hulman Win 11-5 1129.44 Mar 22nd Meltdown 2025
206 Winona State Loss 10-11 907.17 Mar 22nd Meltdown 2025
256 St Thomas Win 11-8 1214.49 Mar 22nd Meltdown 2025
210 Wisconsin-Whitewater Win 13-5 1620.85 Mar 22nd Meltdown 2025
302 Wisconsin-Stevens Point Win 10-5 1243.21 Mar 23rd Meltdown 2025
210 Wisconsin-Whitewater Win 11-4 1620.85 Mar 23rd Meltdown 2025
177 Minnesota-Duluth Loss 11-13 926.51 Mar 29th Old Capitol Open 2025
156 Wisconsin-La Crosse Win 12-11 1360.7 Mar 29th Old Capitol Open 2025
276 St John's (Minnesota) Win 13-10 1100.68 Mar 29th Old Capitol Open 2025
158 Grinnell Loss 3-11 620.19 Mar 30th Old Capitol Open 2025
110 Iowa Loss 9-13 987.18 Mar 30th Old Capitol Open 2025
194 Minnesota-B Win 11-9 1320.09 Mar 30th Old Capitol Open 2025
299 Creighton Win 10-7 1086.1 Apr 12th West Plains D I Mens Conferences 2025
110 Iowa Loss 6-15 805.74 Apr 12th West Plains D I Mens Conferences 2025
75 Iowa State Loss 11-13 1353.66 Apr 12th West Plains D I Mens Conferences 2025
200 Nebraska Loss 10-11 931.52 Apr 12th West Plains D I Mens Conferences 2025
28 Minnesota Loss 8-15 1302.34 Apr 26th North Central D I College Mens Regionals 2025
194 Minnesota-B Win 15-12 1371.38 Apr 26th North Central D I College Mens Regionals 2025
136 Wisconsin-Eau Claire Loss 12-15 1005.8 Apr 26th North Central D I College Mens Regionals 2025
104 Marquette Loss 12-13 1312.96 Apr 26th North Central D I College Mens Regionals 2025
200 Nebraska Win 13-10 1384.67 Apr 27th North Central D I College Mens Regionals 2025
223 Wisconsin-B Win 14-11 1289.4 Apr 27th North Central D I College Mens Regionals 2025
145 Wisconsin-Milwaukee Win 13-10 1598.06 Apr 27th North Central D I College Mens Regionals 2025
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

What is the uncertainty of the mean?
The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
What's the algorithm again?
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
Is there a longer explanation of all this?
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)