#45 Virginia Tech (21-12)

avg: 1752.57  •  sd: 47.02  •  top 16/20: 0%

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# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
5 Carleton College Loss 2-13 1737.82 Jan 31st Florida Warm Up 2025
39 McGill Win 10-9 1903.63 Jan 31st Florida Warm Up 2025
14 Texas Loss 6-13 1442.23 Jan 31st Florida Warm Up 2025
71 Florida Win 11-10 1715.96 Feb 1st Florida Warm Up 2025
146 South Florida Win 13-7 1826.92 Feb 1st Florida Warm Up 2025
2 Massachusetts** Loss 4-13 1769.51 Ignored Feb 1st Florida Warm Up 2025
128 Central Florida Win 13-7 1885.2 Feb 2nd Florida Warm Up 2025
51 Cornell Win 13-7 2263.69 Feb 2nd Florida Warm Up 2025
8 California-Santa Cruz Loss 7-13 1592.72 Mar 8th Stanford Invite 2025 Mens
85 Southern California Win 12-11 1624.33 Mar 8th Stanford Invite 2025 Mens
54 UCLA Loss 9-10 1558.5 Mar 8th Stanford Invite 2025 Mens
43 Whitman Win 13-9 2183.44 Mar 8th Stanford Invite 2025 Mens
16 British Columbia Loss 8-13 1534.07 Mar 9th Stanford Invite 2025 Mens
12 California Loss 9-10 1952.75 Mar 9th Stanford Invite 2025 Mens
46 Stanford Loss 7-9 1462.21 Mar 9th Stanford Invite 2025 Mens
232 George Washington** Win 15-4 1524.71 Ignored Mar 22nd Atlantic Coast Open 2025
96 Lehigh Win 14-8 2000.65 Mar 22nd Atlantic Coast Open 2025
115 RIT Win 13-9 1785.57 Mar 22nd Atlantic Coast Open 2025
239 Wake Forest** Win 15-1 1504.77 Ignored Mar 22nd Atlantic Coast Open 2025
105 Appalachian State Win 14-9 1908.17 Mar 23rd Atlantic Coast Open 2025
63 Duke Win 15-11 2013.84 Mar 23rd Atlantic Coast Open 2025
69 North Carolina-Charlotte Win 13-12 1729.44 Mar 23rd Atlantic Coast Open 2025
58 James Madison Win 9-8 1775.67 Apr 12th Virginia D I Mens Conferences 2025
111 Liberty Win 8-7 1513.97 Apr 12th Virginia D I Mens Conferences 2025
369 Radford** Win 15-2 922.87 Ignored Apr 12th Virginia D I Mens Conferences 2025
238 Virginia Commonwealth Win 12-6 1485.08 Apr 12th Virginia D I Mens Conferences 2025
29 Virginia Loss 10-14 1463.29 Apr 13th Virginia D I Mens Conferences 2025
52 William & Mary Win 13-11 1922.38 Apr 13th Virginia D I Mens Conferences 2025
105 Appalachian State Win 14-9 1908.17 Apr 26th Atlantic Coast D I College Mens Regionals 2025
64 Georgetown Win 13-7 2185.93 Apr 26th Atlantic Coast D I College Mens Regionals 2025
48 North Carolina-Wilmington Loss 12-13 1606.26 Apr 26th Atlantic Coast D I College Mens Regionals 2025
63 Duke Loss 12-14 1411.72 Apr 27th Atlantic Coast D I College Mens Regionals 2025
29 Virginia Loss 10-12 1623.86 Apr 27th Atlantic Coast D I College Mens Regionals 2025
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

What is the uncertainty of the mean?
The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
What's the algorithm again?
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
Is there a longer explanation of all this?
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)