#22 Ohio State (22-8)

avg: 1893.06  •  sd: 80.42  •  top 16/20: 42.2%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
57 James Madison Win 12-3 2006.04 Jan 25th Winta Binta Vinta 2025
74 Penn State** Win 12-1 1859.73 Ignored Jan 25th Winta Binta Vinta 2025
260 Virginia-B** Win 13-0 190.42 Ignored Jan 25th Winta Binta Vinta 2025
57 James Madison Win 13-1 2006.04 Jan 26th Winta Binta Vinta 2025
126 North Carolina-Wilmington** Win 13-0 1447.29 Ignored Jan 26th Winta Binta Vinta 2025
21 Virginia Loss 7-8 1776.06 Jan 26th Winta Binta Vinta 2025
45 American Win 13-8 2038.57 Feb 22nd 2025 Commonwealth Cup Weekend 2
33 Georgia Tech Loss 9-10 1526.61 Feb 22nd 2025 Commonwealth Cup Weekend 2
5 Vermont Loss 6-13 1689.71 Feb 22nd 2025 Commonwealth Cup Weekend 2
17 Notre Dame Win 11-9 2219.76 Feb 23rd 2025 Commonwealth Cup Weekend 2
20 Pennsylvania Win 11-10 2037.93 Feb 23rd 2025 Commonwealth Cup Weekend 2
5 Vermont Loss 7-14 1706.82 Feb 23rd 2025 Commonwealth Cup Weekend 2
64 Connecticut Win 11-5 1919.82 Mar 29th East Coast Invite 2025
24 Minnesota Win 9-8 1948.12 Mar 29th East Coast Invite 2025
37 William & Mary Win 11-4 2202.87 Mar 29th East Coast Invite 2025
3 Tufts Loss 7-15 1888.77 Mar 29th East Coast Invite 2025
36 Haverford/Bryn Mawr Win 10-5 2192.95 Mar 30th East Coast Invite 2025
35 Wisconsin Win 13-10 1961.94 Mar 30th East Coast Invite 2025
3 Tufts Loss 1-15 1888.77 Mar 30th East Coast Invite 2025
80 Case Western Reserve** Win 13-2 1801.55 Ignored Apr 12th Ohio D I Womens Conferences 2025
122 Cincinnati** Win 13-5 1511.56 Ignored Apr 12th Ohio D I Womens Conferences 2025
235 Miami (Ohio)** Win 13-1 708.1 Ignored Apr 12th Ohio D I Womens Conferences 2025
32 Ohio Win 8-7 1796.76 Apr 12th Ohio D I Womens Conferences 2025
80 Case Western Reserve** Win 13-5 1801.55 Ignored Apr 26th Ohio Valley D I College Womens Regionals 2025
31 Pittsburgh Loss 7-8 1569.22 Apr 26th Ohio Valley D I College Womens Regionals 2025
74 Penn State** Win 12-3 1859.73 Ignored Apr 26th Ohio Valley D I College Womens Regionals 2025
113 West Chester** Win 11-2 1551.97 Ignored Apr 26th Ohio Valley D I College Womens Regionals 2025
70 Carnegie Mellon** Win 15-3 1879.15 Ignored Apr 27th Ohio Valley D I College Womens Regionals 2025
20 Pennsylvania Loss 8-13 1416.77 Apr 27th Ohio Valley D I College Womens Regionals 2025
31 Pittsburgh Win 12-7 2214.73 Apr 27th Ohio Valley D I College Womens Regionals 2025
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

What is the uncertainty of the mean?
The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
What's the algorithm again?
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
Is there a longer explanation of all this?
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)