#81 Tennessee (21-8)

avg: 1196.93  •  sd: 64.38  •  top 16/20: 0%

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# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
141 Catholic Win 7-5 1062.16 Feb 15th 2025 Commonwealth Cup Weekend 1
50 Liberty Loss 7-10 1100.3 Feb 15th 2025 Commonwealth Cup Weekend 1
84 Richmond Win 8-6 1449.35 Feb 15th 2025 Commonwealth Cup Weekend 1
58 Davenport Loss 6-9 984.56 Feb 16th 2025 Commonwealth Cup Weekend 1
102 Virginia Tech Win 10-4 1649.35 Feb 16th 2025 Commonwealth Cup Weekend 1
83 Clemson Win 9-8 1288.67 Mar 8th The Only Tenn I See 2025
203 Tennessee-Chattanooga** Win 12-2 995.01 Ignored Mar 8th The Only Tenn I See 2025
83 Clemson Win 11-6 1710.36 Mar 9th The Only Tenn I See 2025
203 Tennessee-Chattanooga** Win 13-1 995.01 Ignored Mar 9th The Only Tenn I See 2025
78 Appalachian State Loss 7-11 748.27 Mar 29th Needle in a Ho Stack 2025
155 Berry Win 12-3 1277.43 Mar 29th Needle in a Ho Stack 2025
258 Emory-B** Win 13-0 286.02 Ignored Mar 29th Needle in a Ho Stack 2025
219 Florida Tech** Win 13-3 816.79 Ignored Mar 29th Needle in a Ho Stack 2025
99 Emory Win 11-10 1200.33 Mar 30th Needle in a Ho Stack 2025
33 Georgia Tech Loss 1-15 1051.61 Mar 30th Needle in a Ho Stack 2025
89 Williams Win 9-8 1243.74 Mar 30th Needle in a Ho Stack 2025
258 Emory-B** Win 15-0 286.02 Ignored Apr 12th Southern Appalachian D I Womens Conferences 2025
156 Georgia Southern Win 13-4 1273.6 Apr 12th Southern Appalachian D I Womens Conferences 2025
33 Georgia Tech Loss 3-15 1051.61 Apr 12th Southern Appalachian D I Womens Conferences 2025
203 Tennessee-Chattanooga** Win 15-5 995.01 Ignored Apr 12th Southern Appalachian D I Womens Conferences 2025
99 Emory Win 15-2 1675.33 Apr 13th Southern Appalachian D I Womens Conferences 2025
29 Georgia Loss 8-14 1190.08 Apr 13th Southern Appalachian D I Womens Conferences 2025
156 Georgia Southern Win 10-6 1169.76 Apr 13th Southern Appalachian D I Womens Conferences 2025
233 Auburn** Win 15-1 724.76 Ignored Apr 26th Southeast D I College Womens Regionals 2025
65 Florida Loss 11-14 1006 Apr 26th Southeast D I College Womens Regionals 2025
169 Miami (Florida) Win 15-4 1209.04 Apr 26th Southeast D I College Womens Regionals 2025
209 Vanderbilt** Win 15-4 880.82 Ignored Apr 26th Southeast D I College Womens Regionals 2025
59 Central Florida Loss 9-15 881.59 Apr 27th Southeast D I College Womens Regionals 2025
169 Miami (Florida) Win 15-7 1209.04 Apr 27th Southeast D I College Womens Regionals 2025
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

What is the uncertainty of the mean?
The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
What's the algorithm again?
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
Is there a longer explanation of all this?
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)