#159 Charleston (8-17)

avg: 665  •  sd: 65.66  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
156 Georgia Southern Loss 8-10 410.94 Mar 15th Southerns 2025
126 North Carolina-Wilmington Loss 6-9 428.72 Mar 15th Southerns 2025
236 Florida-B Win 10-3 683.7 Mar 15th Southerns 2025
125 Georgia College Loss 6-7 731.15 Mar 15th Southerns 2025
156 Georgia Southern Win 8-7 798.6 Mar 15th Southerns 2025
107 Denver Loss 2-13 427.31 Mar 15th Southerns 2025
125 Georgia College Loss 8-9 731.15 Mar 29th Needle in a Ho Stack 2025
149 Davidson Loss 5-8 250.92 Mar 29th Needle in a Ho Stack 2025
228 Elon Win 8-6 465.61 Mar 29th Needle in a Ho Stack 2025
89 Williams Loss 2-13 518.74 Mar 29th Needle in a Ho Stack 2025
155 Berry Win 7-2 1277.43 Mar 30th Needle in a Ho Stack 2025
115 Cedarville Loss 5-15 347.08 Mar 30th Needle in a Ho Stack 2025
226 South Carolina-B Win 11-4 787.46 Mar 30th Needle in a Ho Stack 2025
78 Appalachian State Loss 2-13 615.16 Apr 12th Carolina D I Womens Conferences 2025
126 North Carolina-Wilmington Loss 5-8 393.68 Apr 12th Carolina D I Womens Conferences 2025
83 Clemson Loss 2-13 563.67 Apr 12th Carolina D I Womens Conferences 2025
9 North Carolina** Loss 1-13 1522.91 Ignored Apr 12th Carolina D I Womens Conferences 2025
78 Appalachian State Loss 1-15 615.16 Apr 13th Carolina D I Womens Conferences 2025
166 East Carolina Win 11-7 1092.81 Apr 13th Carolina D I Womens Conferences 2025
126 North Carolina-Wilmington Win 8-7 972.29 Apr 13th Carolina D I Womens Conferences 2025
50 Liberty** Loss 4-14 889.97 Ignored Apr 26th Atlantic Coast D I College Womens Regionals 2025
21 Virginia** Loss 2-15 1301.06 Ignored Apr 26th Atlantic Coast D I College Womens Regionals 2025
69 North Carolina State** Loss 3-12 694.32 Ignored Apr 26th Atlantic Coast D I College Womens Regionals 2025
138 George Washington Win 13-10 1119.45 Apr 26th Atlantic Coast D I College Womens Regionals 2025
78 Appalachian State Loss 5-12 615.16 Apr 27th Atlantic Coast D I College Womens Regionals 2025
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

What is the uncertainty of the mean?
The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
What's the algorithm again?
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
Is there a longer explanation of all this?
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)