#50 Liberty (20-9)

avg: 1489.97  •  sd: 81.62  •  top 16/20: 0%

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# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
26 Georgetown Loss 9-10 1676 Jan 25th Winta Binta Vinta 2025
21 Virginia Loss 4-10 1301.06 Jan 25th Winta Binta Vinta 2025
126 North Carolina-Wilmington** Win 11-2 1447.29 Ignored Jan 25th Winta Binta Vinta 2025
57 James Madison Loss 7-8 1281.04 Jan 26th Winta Binta Vinta 2025
260 Virginia-B** Win 13-0 190.42 Ignored Jan 26th Winta Binta Vinta 2025
74 Penn State Loss 6-7 1134.73 Jan 26th Winta Binta Vinta 2025
58 Davenport Win 10-3 2003.13 Feb 15th 2025 Commonwealth Cup Weekend 1
81 Tennessee Win 10-7 1586.6 Feb 15th 2025 Commonwealth Cup Weekend 1
102 Virginia Tech Win 8-3 1649.35 Feb 15th 2025 Commonwealth Cup Weekend 1
141 Catholic** Win 11-1 1334.02 Ignored Feb 16th 2025 Commonwealth Cup Weekend 1
84 Richmond Win 6-2 1748.86 Feb 16th 2025 Commonwealth Cup Weekend 1
252 American-B** Win 15-0 539.65 Ignored Mar 22nd Atlantic Coast Open 2025
223 Dickinson** Win 15-0 805.15 Ignored Mar 22nd Atlantic Coast Open 2025
179 George Mason** Win 15-0 1143.78 Ignored Mar 22nd Atlantic Coast Open 2025
84 Richmond Win 12-5 1748.86 Mar 22nd Atlantic Coast Open 2025
223 Dickinson** Win 15-2 805.15 Ignored Mar 23rd Atlantic Coast Open 2025
84 Richmond Win 12-9 1494.23 Mar 23rd Atlantic Coast Open 2025
102 Virginia Tech Win 13-7 1606.89 Apr 12th Virginia D I Womens Conferences 2025
21 Virginia Win 11-9 2150.27 Apr 12th Virginia D I Womens Conferences 2025
158 Virginia Commonwealth** Win 11-2 1267.43 Ignored Apr 12th Virginia D I Womens Conferences 2025
37 William & Mary Loss 7-11 1135.98 Apr 12th Virginia D I Womens Conferences 2025
57 James Madison Win 10-8 1668.7 Apr 13th Virginia D I Womens Conferences 2025
37 William & Mary Loss 7-10 1213.21 Apr 13th Virginia D I Womens Conferences 2025
21 Virginia Loss 4-13 1301.06 Apr 13th Virginia D I Womens Conferences 2025
159 Charleston** Win 14-4 1265 Ignored Apr 26th Atlantic Coast D I College Womens Regionals 2025
69 North Carolina State Win 12-9 1639.69 Apr 26th Atlantic Coast D I College Womens Regionals 2025
21 Virginia Loss 4-14 1301.06 Apr 26th Atlantic Coast D I College Womens Regionals 2025
53 Maryland Loss 6-12 877.8 Apr 26th Atlantic Coast D I College Womens Regionals 2025
69 North Carolina State Win 11-9 1543.53 Apr 27th Atlantic Coast D I College Womens Regionals 2025
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

What is the uncertainty of the mean?
The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
What's the algorithm again?
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
Is there a longer explanation of all this?
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)