#136 Wisconsin-Eau Claire (20-11)

avg: 1306.29  •  sd: 47.16  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
60 Carleton College-CHOP Loss 4-13 1046.37 Feb 8th Gopher Dome 2025
194 Minnesota-B Win 9-8 1195.89 Feb 8th Gopher Dome 2025
320 Minnesota-C** Win 13-4 1196.3 Ignored Feb 8th Gopher Dome 2025
72 St Olaf Loss 7-11 1122.99 Feb 8th Gopher Dome 2025
151 Macalester Loss 9-10 1136.32 Feb 8th Gopher Dome 2025
258 DePaul Win 10-5 1414.67 Mar 1st Midwest Throwdown 2025
298 Knox Win 12-7 1217.06 Mar 1st Midwest Throwdown 2025
104 Marquette Loss 7-8 1312.96 Mar 1st Midwest Throwdown 2025
258 DePaul Win 13-1 1440.77 Mar 2nd Midwest Throwdown 2025
257 Illinois-B Win 12-5 1445.74 Mar 2nd Midwest Throwdown 2025
194 Minnesota-B Win 11-10 1195.89 Mar 2nd Midwest Throwdown 2025
156 Wisconsin-La Crosse Loss 6-13 635.7 Mar 2nd Midwest Throwdown 2025
236 Illinois State Win 13-7 1465.58 Mar 29th Old Capitol Open 2025
110 Iowa Loss 9-13 987.18 Mar 29th Old Capitol Open 2025
206 Winona State Win 12-9 1377.54 Mar 29th Old Capitol Open 2025
194 Minnesota-B Win 8-6 1371.38 Mar 30th Old Capitol Open 2025
156 Wisconsin-La Crosse Win 10-10 1235.7 Mar 30th Old Capitol Open 2025
104 Marquette Loss 9-12 1092.59 Apr 12th Lake Superior D I Mens Conferences 2025
156 Wisconsin-La Crosse Win 14-13 1360.7 Apr 12th Lake Superior D I Mens Conferences 2025
302 Wisconsin-Stevens Point Win 13-6 1269.31 Apr 12th Lake Superior D I Mens Conferences 2025
145 Wisconsin-Milwaukee Loss 11-12 1144.92 Apr 12th Lake Superior D I Mens Conferences 2025
423 Northern Michigan** Win 15-4 600 Ignored Apr 13th Lake Superior D I Mens Conferences 2025
156 Wisconsin-La Crosse Win 12-9 1581.07 Apr 13th Lake Superior D I Mens Conferences 2025
145 Wisconsin-Milwaukee Win 15-13 1484.1 Apr 13th Lake Superior D I Mens Conferences 2025
28 Minnesota Loss 6-15 1267.14 Apr 26th North Central D I College Mens Regionals 2025
194 Minnesota-B Win 15-14 1195.89 Apr 26th North Central D I College Mens Regionals 2025
171 Northern Iowa Win 15-12 1479.75 Apr 26th North Central D I College Mens Regionals 2025
210 Wisconsin-Whitewater Win 15-7 1620.85 Apr 26th North Central D I College Mens Regionals 2025
5 Carleton College** Loss 2-15 1737.82 Ignored Apr 27th North Central D I College Mens Regionals 2025
75 Iowa State Loss 10-15 1128.89 Apr 27th North Central D I College Mens Regionals 2025
156 Wisconsin-La Crosse Win 15-5 1835.7 Apr 27th North Central D I College Mens Regionals 2025
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

What is the uncertainty of the mean?
The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
What's the algorithm again?
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
Is there a longer explanation of all this?
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)