#75 Iowa State (23-8)

avg: 1582.5  •  sd: 52.69  •  top 16/20: 0%

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# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
257 Illinois-B** Win 13-3 1445.74 Ignored Mar 1st Midwest Throwdown 2025
151 Macalester Win 13-10 1589.46 Mar 1st Midwest Throwdown 2025
313 Washington University-B** Win 13-2 1226.37 Ignored Mar 1st Midwest Throwdown 2025
276 St John's (Minnesota) Win 13-10 1100.68 Mar 2nd Midwest Throwdown 2025
104 Marquette Loss 9-10 1312.96 Mar 2nd Midwest Throwdown 2025
72 St Olaf Loss 6-9 1171.31 Mar 2nd Midwest Throwdown 2025
151 Macalester Win 11-5 1861.32 Mar 2nd Midwest Throwdown 2025
288 Harding** Win 13-4 1345.34 Ignored Mar 15th Mens Centex 2025
110 Iowa Win 13-7 1963.28 Mar 15th Mens Centex 2025
296 Trinity** Win 13-0 1311.59 Ignored Mar 15th Mens Centex 2025
133 North Texas Win 13-8 1809.16 Mar 15th Mens Centex 2025
121 Arizona State Win 15-11 1728.47 Mar 16th Mens Centex 2025
86 Colorado-B Win 13-3 2093.4 Mar 16th Mens Centex 2025
40 Middlebury Loss 12-15 1473.79 Mar 16th Mens Centex 2025
102 Alabama Win 12-7 1967.82 Mar 29th Huck Finn 2025
78 Notre Dame Loss 9-15 1039.09 Mar 29th Huck Finn 2025
204 Saint Louis Win 14-6 1642.38 Mar 29th Huck Finn 2025
87 Missouri S&T Win 14-13 1616.08 Mar 29th Huck Finn 2025
56 Indiana Loss 11-13 1430.51 Mar 30th Huck Finn 2025
72 St Olaf Loss 6-13 989.88 Mar 30th Huck Finn 2025
299 Creighton** Win 15-3 1296.43 Ignored Apr 12th West Plains D I Mens Conferences 2025
110 Iowa Win 12-9 1751.11 Apr 12th West Plains D I Mens Conferences 2025
171 Northern Iowa Win 13-11 1408.1 Apr 12th West Plains D I Mens Conferences 2025
200 Nebraska Win 15-2 1656.52 Apr 12th West Plains D I Mens Conferences 2025
110 Iowa Win 15-10 1859.35 Apr 26th North Central D I College Mens Regionals 2025
156 Wisconsin-La Crosse Loss 14-15 1110.7 Apr 26th North Central D I College Mens Regionals 2025
320 Minnesota-C** Win 15-4 1196.3 Ignored Apr 26th North Central D I College Mens Regionals 2025
145 Wisconsin-Milwaukee Win 15-10 1723.52 Apr 26th North Central D I College Mens Regionals 2025
110 Iowa Win 14-10 1804.45 Apr 27th North Central D I College Mens Regionals 2025
44 Wisconsin Loss 13-15 1540.02 Apr 27th North Central D I College Mens Regionals 2025
136 Wisconsin-Eau Claire Win 15-10 1759.9 Apr 27th North Central D I College Mens Regionals 2025
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

What is the uncertainty of the mean?
The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
What's the algorithm again?
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
Is there a longer explanation of all this?
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)