#320 Minnesota-C (7-14)

avg: 596.3  •  sd: 56.48  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
60 Carleton College-CHOP** Loss 1-13 1046.37 Ignored Feb 8th Gopher Dome 2025
72 St Olaf** Loss 5-13 989.88 Ignored Feb 8th Gopher Dome 2025
151 Macalester** Loss 5-13 661.32 Ignored Feb 8th Gopher Dome 2025
136 Wisconsin-Eau Claire** Loss 4-13 706.29 Ignored Feb 8th Gopher Dome 2025
194 Minnesota-B Loss 3-13 470.89 Feb 12th Gopher Dome 2025
385 Carthage Win 13-4 803.76 Mar 29th Old Capitol Open 2025
421 Grinnell-B** Win 13-0 -37.59 Ignored Mar 29th Old Capitol Open 2025
200 Nebraska Loss 5-13 456.52 Mar 29th Old Capitol Open 2025
399 Iowa-B Win 12-3 678.49 Mar 30th Old Capitol Open 2025
402 Wisconsin-Milwaukee-B Win 13-5 602.25 Mar 30th Old Capitol Open 2025
313 Washington University-B Loss 9-12 281 Mar 30th Old Capitol Open 2025
399 Iowa-B Win 15-4 678.49 Apr 12th North Central Dev Mens Conferences 2025
194 Minnesota-B Loss 5-15 470.89 Apr 12th North Central Dev Mens Conferences 2025
393 Wisconsin-C Win 15-5 724.17 Apr 12th North Central Dev Mens Conferences 2025
273 Minnesota State-Mankato Loss 8-15 223.9 Apr 13th North Central Dev Mens Conferences 2025
393 Wisconsin-C Win 15-4 724.17 Apr 13th North Central Dev Mens Conferences 2025
110 Iowa** Loss 1-15 805.74 Ignored Apr 26th North Central D I College Mens Regionals 2025
75 Iowa State** Loss 4-15 982.5 Ignored Apr 26th North Central D I College Mens Regionals 2025
156 Wisconsin-La Crosse Loss 10-15 782.1 Apr 26th North Central D I College Mens Regionals 2025
145 Wisconsin-Milwaukee Loss 9-15 754.44 Apr 27th North Central D I College Mens Regionals 2025
177 Minnesota-Duluth Loss 8-15 590.54 Apr 27th North Central D I College Mens Regionals 2025
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

What is the uncertainty of the mean?
The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
What's the algorithm again?
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
Is there a longer explanation of all this?
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)