#151 Macalester (15-14)

avg: 1261.32  •  sd: 39.36  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
60 Carleton College-CHOP Loss 3-13 1046.37 Feb 8th Gopher Dome 2025
194 Minnesota-B Win 9-7 1350.22 Feb 8th Gopher Dome 2025
320 Minnesota-C** Win 13-5 1196.3 Ignored Feb 8th Gopher Dome 2025
72 St Olaf Win 11-10 1714.88 Feb 8th Gopher Dome 2025
136 Wisconsin-Eau Claire Win 10-9 1431.29 Feb 8th Gopher Dome 2025
257 Illinois-B Win 10-3 1445.74 Mar 1st Midwest Throwdown 2025
75 Iowa State Loss 10-13 1254.36 Mar 1st Midwest Throwdown 2025
313 Washington University-B Win 13-6 1226.37 Mar 1st Midwest Throwdown 2025
75 Iowa State Loss 5-11 982.5 Mar 2nd Midwest Throwdown 2025
95 Southern Illinois-Edwardsville Loss 8-12 1029.8 Mar 2nd Midwest Throwdown 2025
223 Wisconsin-B Win 13-5 1576.06 Mar 2nd Midwest Throwdown 2025
156 Wisconsin-La Crosse Loss 9-10 1110.7 Mar 2nd Midwest Throwdown 2025
97 Missouri Win 12-10 1698.1 Mar 29th Huck Finn 2025
76 Ohio State Loss 11-14 1256.67 Mar 29th Huck Finn 2025
72 St Olaf Loss 6-13 989.88 Mar 29th Huck Finn 2025
92 Texas A&M Loss 10-13 1149.74 Mar 29th Huck Finn 2025
153 Kentucky Loss 6-8 947.99 Mar 30th Huck Finn 2025
97 Missouri Win 11-10 1584.97 Mar 30th Huck Finn 2025
122 Northwestern Loss 11-13 1115.94 Mar 30th Huck Finn 2025
291 Carleton College-C Win 11-8 1089.88 Apr 12th Northwoods D III Mens Conferences 2025
72 St Olaf Loss 6-13 989.88 Apr 12th Northwoods D III Mens Conferences 2025
256 St Thomas Win 11-4 1448.88 Apr 12th Northwoods D III Mens Conferences 2025
60 Carleton College-CHOP Loss 8-15 1081.56 Apr 13th Northwoods D III Mens Conferences 2025
206 Winona State Win 15-12 1332.66 Apr 13th Northwoods D III Mens Conferences 2025
60 Carleton College-CHOP Loss 11-13 1417.53 Apr 26th North Central D III College Mens Regionals 2025
158 Grinnell Win 11-10 1345.19 Apr 26th North Central D III College Mens Regionals 2025
303 Luther Win 15-7 1265.96 Apr 26th North Central D III College Mens Regionals 2025
72 St Olaf Loss 9-11 1340.67 Apr 27th North Central D III College Mens Regionals 2025
256 St Thomas Win 13-10 1177.02 Apr 27th North Central D III College Mens Regionals 2025
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

What is the uncertainty of the mean?
The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
What's the algorithm again?
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
Is there a longer explanation of all this?
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)