#172 Alabama-Birmingham (14-12)

avg: 1174.88  •  sd: 52.21  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
341 Alabama-B Win 11-5 1119.63 Jan 25th T Town Throwdown XX
186 Union (Tennessee) Win 13-12 1237.59 Jan 25th T Town Throwdown XX
118 Mississippi State Loss 7-9 1077.91 Jan 25th T Town Throwdown XX
280 Jacksonville State Win 13-8 1262.25 Jan 25th T Town Throwdown XX
102 Alabama Loss 10-15 993.7 Jan 26th T Town Throwdown XX
99 Tennessee-Chattanooga Loss 8-13 957.46 Jan 26th T Town Throwdown XX
236 Illinois State Win 11-5 1508.05 Jan 26th T Town Throwdown XX
325 Mississippi State-B Win 13-6 1186.73 Mar 22nd 2025 Annual Magic City Invite
321 Mississippi Win 13-4 1195.55 Mar 22nd 2025 Annual Magic City Invite
186 Union (Tennessee) Win 9-8 1237.59 Mar 22nd 2025 Annual Magic City Invite
326 Samford Win 12-9 929.5 Mar 22nd 2025 Annual Magic City Invite
398 South Florida-B** Win 15-4 694.17 Ignored Mar 23rd 2025 Annual Magic City Invite
325 Mississippi State-B Win 15-10 1040.33 Mar 23rd 2025 Annual Magic City Invite
193 Miami (Florida) Win 14-9 1547.24 Mar 23rd 2025 Annual Magic City Invite
102 Alabama Loss 8-12 1006.15 Apr 12th Gulf Coast D I Mens Conferences 2025
118 Mississippi State Loss 5-13 757.25 Apr 12th Gulf Coast D I Mens Conferences 2025
321 Mississippi Win 13-7 1153.08 Apr 12th Gulf Coast D I Mens Conferences 2025
68 Alabama-Huntsville Loss 5-13 1010.26 Apr 12th Gulf Coast D I Mens Conferences 2025
130 LSU Loss 5-11 723.15 Apr 13th Gulf Coast D I Mens Conferences 2025
190 Vanderbilt Win 12-7 1609.72 Apr 13th Gulf Coast D I Mens Conferences 2025
50 Tulane Loss 12-13 1583.09 Apr 26th Southeast D I College Mens Regionals 2025
47 Emory Loss 8-15 1170.67 Apr 26th Southeast D I College Mens Regionals 2025
67 Auburn Loss 4-15 1021.8 Apr 26th Southeast D I College Mens Regionals 2025
102 Alabama Loss 7-11 980.41 Apr 27th Southeast D I College Mens Regionals 2025
68 Alabama-Huntsville Loss 9-13 1191.7 Apr 27th Southeast D I College Mens Regionals 2025
146 South Florida Win 14-9 1743.26 Apr 27th Southeast D I College Mens Regionals 2025
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

What is the uncertainty of the mean?
The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
What's the algorithm again?
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
Is there a longer explanation of all this?
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)