#102 Alabama (22-16)

avg: 1447.3  •  sd: 47.02  •  top 16/20: 0%

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# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
130 LSU Win 13-6 1923.15 Jan 25th T Town Throwdown XX
103 Berry Loss 12-13 1319.9 Jan 25th T Town Throwdown XX
288 Harding** Win 13-0 1345.34 Ignored Jan 25th T Town Throwdown XX
394 Tennessee-Chattanooga -B** Win 13-0 723.18 Ignored Jan 25th T Town Throwdown XX
236 Illinois State Win 13-4 1508.05 Jan 26th T Town Throwdown XX
172 Alabama-Birmingham Win 15-10 1628.48 Jan 26th T Town Throwdown XX
118 Mississippi State Win 15-12 1657.74 Jan 26th T Town Throwdown XX
103 Berry Loss 12-15 1144.41 Jan 26th T Town Throwdown XX
34 South Carolina Loss 9-13 1396.73 Feb 15th Queen City Tune Up 2025
48 North Carolina-Wilmington Win 13-11 1960.1 Feb 15th Queen City Tune Up 2025
88 Carnegie Mellon Loss 9-13 1070.99 Feb 15th Queen City Tune Up 2025
93 Yale Loss 7-8 1351.76 Feb 16th Queen City Tune Up 2025
82 Tennessee Loss 7-9 1246.53 Feb 16th Queen City Tune Up 2025
233 Georgia Southern Win 13-2 1518.6 Feb 22nd Mardi Gras XXXVII
224 Arkansas Win 13-6 1559.82 Feb 22nd Mardi Gras XXXVII
71 Florida Loss 10-13 1262.82 Feb 22nd Mardi Gras XXXVII
99 Tennessee-Chattanooga Win 13-12 1578.61 Feb 22nd Mardi Gras XXXVII
204 Saint Louis Win 13-8 1538.54 Mar 29th Huck Finn 2025
78 Notre Dame Loss 7-14 971.68 Mar 29th Huck Finn 2025
75 Iowa State Loss 7-12 1061.99 Mar 29th Huck Finn 2025
95 Southern Illinois-Edwardsville Loss 6-15 870.96 Mar 29th Huck Finn 2025
204 Saint Louis Win 11-8 1407.99 Mar 30th Huck Finn 2025
118 Mississippi State Win 11-6 1903.94 Mar 30th Huck Finn 2025
87 Missouri S&T Win 9-7 1770.42 Mar 30th Huck Finn 2025
172 Alabama-Birmingham Win 12-8 1616.03 Apr 12th Gulf Coast D I Mens Conferences 2025
118 Mississippi State Win 12-11 1482.25 Apr 12th Gulf Coast D I Mens Conferences 2025
321 Mississippi Win 13-7 1153.08 Apr 12th Gulf Coast D I Mens Conferences 2025
68 Alabama-Huntsville Loss 8-11 1244.65 Apr 12th Gulf Coast D I Mens Conferences 2025
50 Tulane Loss 9-14 1234.22 Apr 13th Gulf Coast D I Mens Conferences 2025
67 Auburn Win 8-7 1746.8 Apr 13th Gulf Coast D I Mens Conferences 2025
68 Alabama-Huntsville Loss 11-13 1381.42 Apr 13th Gulf Coast D I Mens Conferences 2025
134 Florida State Win 15-10 1764.37 Apr 26th Southeast D I College Mens Regionals 2025
146 South Florida Win 15-13 1483.57 Apr 26th Southeast D I College Mens Regionals 2025
17 Georgia Loss 12-15 1714.11 Apr 26th Southeast D I College Mens Regionals 2025
47 Emory Loss 10-15 1281.87 Apr 26th Southeast D I College Mens Regionals 2025
118 Mississippi State Loss 13-15 1143.07 Apr 27th Southeast D I College Mens Regionals 2025
134 Florida State Win 15-11 1691.94 Apr 27th Southeast D I College Mens Regionals 2025
172 Alabama-Birmingham Win 11-7 1641.77 Apr 27th Southeast D I College Mens Regionals 2025
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

What is the uncertainty of the mean?
The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
What's the algorithm again?
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
Is there a longer explanation of all this?
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)