#118 Mississippi State (23-19)

avg: 1357.25  •  sd: 40.33  •  top 16/20: 0%

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# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
341 Alabama-B Win 13-6 1119.63 Jan 25th T Town Throwdown XX
172 Alabama-Birmingham Win 9-7 1454.21 Jan 25th T Town Throwdown XX
186 Union (Tennessee) Win 13-8 1608.75 Jan 25th T Town Throwdown XX
99 Tennessee-Chattanooga Win 11-9 1702.82 Jan 25th T Town Throwdown XX
102 Alabama Loss 12-15 1146.81 Jan 26th T Town Throwdown XX
236 Illinois State Win 15-5 1508.05 Jan 26th T Town Throwdown XX
280 Jacksonville State Win 13-10 1094.24 Jan 26th T Town Throwdown XX
130 LSU Win 9-2 1923.15 Jan 26th T Town Throwdown XX
288 Harding** Win 15-3 1345.34 Ignored Feb 8th Bulldog Brawl
152 Lipscomb Win 13-11 1482.2 Feb 8th Bulldog Brawl
204 Saint Louis Win 13-6 1642.38 Feb 8th Bulldog Brawl
103 Berry Loss 13-15 1230.72 Feb 9th Bulldog Brawl
204 Saint Louis Win 15-13 1256.56 Feb 9th Bulldog Brawl
87 Missouri S&T Loss 9-10 1366.08 Feb 9th Bulldog Brawl
224 Arkansas Win 13-3 1559.82 Feb 22nd Mardi Gras XXXVII
35 Ave Maria Loss 5-13 1197.22 Feb 22nd Mardi Gras XXXVII
146 South Florida Win 10-9 1394.39 Feb 22nd Mardi Gras XXXVII
92 Texas A&M Loss 4-13 877.88 Feb 22nd Mardi Gras XXXVII
121 Arizona State Win 9-8 1472.3 Mar 15th Mens Centex 2025
89 Colorado College Loss 5-8 1031.67 Mar 15th Mens Centex 2025
59 Illinois Loss 10-11 1525.19 Mar 15th Mens Centex 2025
133 North Texas Loss 6-11 766.3 Mar 15th Mens Centex 2025
224 Arkansas Win 15-10 1413.43 Mar 16th Mens Centex 2025
110 Iowa Loss 6-15 805.74 Mar 16th Mens Centex 2025
191 Oklahoma State Win 15-11 1464.96 Mar 16th Mens Centex 2025
72 St Olaf Win 11-10 1714.88 Mar 29th Huck Finn 2025
53 Purdue Loss 6-13 1092.88 Mar 29th Huck Finn 2025
122 Northwestern Loss 9-10 1219.78 Mar 29th Huck Finn 2025
92 Texas A&M Loss 9-10 1352.88 Mar 29th Huck Finn 2025
102 Alabama Loss 6-11 900.61 Mar 30th Huck Finn 2025
153 Kentucky Win 12-10 1486.61 Mar 30th Huck Finn 2025
102 Alabama Loss 11-12 1322.3 Apr 12th Gulf Coast D I Mens Conferences 2025
172 Alabama-Birmingham Win 13-5 1774.88 Apr 12th Gulf Coast D I Mens Conferences 2025
68 Alabama-Huntsville Loss 11-13 1381.42 Apr 12th Gulf Coast D I Mens Conferences 2025
321 Mississippi** Win 13-3 1195.55 Ignored Apr 12th Gulf Coast D I Mens Conferences 2025
190 Vanderbilt Win 13-4 1689.21 Apr 13th Gulf Coast D I Mens Conferences 2025
130 LSU Win 12-10 1561.28 Apr 13th Gulf Coast D I Mens Conferences 2025
128 Central Florida Loss 14-15 1202.67 Apr 26th Southeast D I College Mens Regionals 2025
71 Florida Loss 10-14 1192.26 Apr 26th Southeast D I College Mens Regionals 2025
21 Georgia Tech Loss 11-15 1595.02 Apr 26th Southeast D I College Mens Regionals 2025
102 Alabama Win 15-13 1661.48 Apr 27th Southeast D I College Mens Regionals 2025
130 LSU Loss 11-13 1094.31 Apr 27th Southeast D I College Mens Regionals 2025
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

What is the uncertainty of the mean?
The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
What's the algorithm again?
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
Is there a longer explanation of all this?
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)